Jeralyn explores Sebelius as a possible VP:
Why does Obama need Kaine as a smokescreen? To make Sebelius more palatable to Hillary supporters who will be more than a bit upset at his choosing a woman other than Hillary. [More...]:
It's the same theory behind the five stages of grief, 1. Denial and Isolation, 2. Anger 3. Bargaining. 4. Depression 5. Acceptance.
Hillary supporters are just coming out of the anger phase. They realize Obama is going to be the nominee and, as loyal Democrats, have been trying to get to a place where they can accept him. One of Obama's dilemmas has been that Hillary supporters aren't ready to accept a woman other than Hillary for the ticket. They view it as a slap in the face. The only way Obama can pick a woman other than Hillary is if the alternative is worse...
The downside: The Democratic ticket becomes a double-dose of inexperience at the national level. Neither Obama nor Sebelius have enough experience. But when reality sets in, the bottom line will be, contrary to what I repeatedly said and believed during the entire primary campaign, the devil you know actually is worse than the devil you don't. I'm now ready to buy that pig in a poke. A candidate like McCain with bad foreign policy and domestic views is worse than a candidate with good views who may need a little on the job training. Obama and Sebelius are a far better choice than McCain and another four years of Republican rule.
So I am reversing my prediction from June. I think Sebelius is the most likely choice right now. And I'm okay with it.
I would be concerned that the "experience" issue might gain traction...
***To Clarify: I will support the Democratic nominee for President***
(unless He picks a Republican for VP)
1 comment:
The "experience" issue was always going to be a meme - but I don't think it's one we necessarily have to worry about. It was an issue in some form or another for Bush in 2000, Clinton in '92, Reagan in '80, Carter in '76...
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